
Powering Growth
An energy and grid policy for reliability, affordability, and competitiveness
Key Takeaways
- U.S. electricity demand is rising rapidly—driven by AI, electrification, and industrial growth—but constraints in transmission, interconnection, and permitting are preventing supply from keeping pace.
- Current planning and regulatory processes are lagging behind demand, and fuel-specific debates have slowed deployment, raising costs for households and businesses.
- We can deliver affordable and reliable energy by adopting an all-of-the-above strategy that expands supply, improves energy use, and focuses decision-making on system performance.
The Challenge
Energy is central to economic strategy. Where businesses invest and industries locate increasingly depends on electricity supply, and energy costs are a real factor in household cost of living. U.S. power demand is rising, and economic growth hinges on whether the energy system can expand quickly and reliably. Yet energy policy has become politicized, with debates focused on individual fuels rather than whether the system as a whole can deliver.
Several forces are driving growing demand. Data center expansions alone are projected to increase U.S. electricity consumption by several percentage points over the next five years.1 Electrification of transportation and industry is raising baseline demand, and energy-intensive manufacturing is expanding domestically as supply chains shift.2 Together, these trends are straining a grid built for slower, more predictable growth—even as emissions reduction and resilience to extreme weather remain essential objectives.
Transmission bottlenecks are a major constraint. Interconnection queues—the process for connecting new power plants, data centers, and other large users to the grid—have become severely backlogged, delaying projects by years.3 In some regions, the problem extends to local distribution capacity.4 Permitting delays, siting conflicts, and fragmented regulatory processes routinely slow projects that already have financing and customers.5 Meanwhile, more frequent and severe weather events are exposing grid vulnerabilities and raising the stakes around reliability.6
Chart
U.S. electricity demand is poised to surge after a two-decade plateau
Total U.S. electricity demand, in terawatt hours
Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (2025)
Global energy markets remain a source of macroeconomic risk. Expanded U.S. oil and gas production has reduced direct exposure to foreign supply disruptions,7 but prices are still set in global markets. As a result, geopolitical shocks—seen today in the Middle East—can quickly transmit through higher gasoline prices into broader inflation. Oil and natural gas therefore continue to anchor economic stability, even as electricity demand rises and power systems become more central to growth.
Meanwhile, China is building generation, transmission, and energy manufacturing capacity at scale, backed by centralized coordination.8 The U.S. has capital, technological expertise, and abundant natural resources, but lacks the institutional capacity and policy coherence to move at the same pace. Without reform, supply will not scale across technologies and American energy leadership will weaken.
These shifts are already reshaping power markets, raising questions about infrastructure planning, cost allocation, and who ultimately bears the cost of expansion.
Leadership Now Position
The U.S. can secure energy leadership by expanding supply across technologies, improving energy use, and reforming the institutions governing infrastructure development. The central task is to depoliticize energy policy and refocus decision-making on outcomes.
The path forward is an all-of-the-above strategy grounded in system performance rather than fuel preference—treating electricity, fuels, infrastructure, and demand as parts of an integrated system. Economic growth, climate progress, and energy security can pull policy in different directions in the short term. Over time, they converge on a common requirement: an energy system that scales reliably, affordably, and quickly.
Five principles guide our approach:
01
Grow the energy system with the economy.
Demand is rising across AI, electrification, and manufacturing, requiring expansion across generation, transmission, distribution, storage, and efficiency. A reliable and affordable system will require always-available power as well as resources that can be built quickly and at low cost.
02
Deliver reliable and affordable power.
Electricity systems must perform during peak demand and extreme conditions, not just normal operations. Reliability and affordability are shaped by the mix of resources, the grid connecting them, cost allocation, and investment rules. This demands system-wide planning, not just responding to individual projects as they emerge.
03
Get more from the energy we use.
The most affordable way to meet rising demand is to improve efficiency alongside expanding supply. Demand-side resources—including efficiency standards, flexible load, and digital optimization—can reduce peak demand, avoid unnecessary infrastructure investment, and lower system costs. Large new loads like data centers should be integrated in ways that support the broader grid rather than shifting costs onto other users.
04
Make it possible to build in America.
The primary constraint on the U.S. energy system is the ability to build. Permitting and deployment need to be faster and more predictable—across generation, transmission, pipelines, and emerging technologies—with clear timelines and coordinated decision-making across jurisdictions.
05
Expand supply while reducing environmental impact.
Energy supply must grow even as emissions decline. Policy should prioritize scalable technologies that improve environmental performance. Reliability should be maintained through new investment and market signals, not by propping up assets that are no longer economically viable.
Policy Recommendations
I. Transmission, Interconnection & Permitting
- Expand transmission and grid infrastructure. FERC should require regional planning processes to incorporate forward-looking demand from AI, electrification, and manufacturing, and establish an interregional framework to advance projects with system-wide value. Congress should reinforce FERC’s authority on cost allocation and backstop siting for interstate transmission, using federal siting authority when states cannot reach agreement. States and utilities should accelerate distribution upgrades and deploy grid-enhancing technologies to increase capacity on existing infrastructure.
- Reform permitting. Congress should establish clear timelines for environmental review and require concurrent rather than sequential agency processes, designating lead agencies for major projects with staffing to match. States should adopt predictable siting processes with defined timelines and clearer approval standards. Judicial review should remain available but structured to avoid indefinite delays that shift risk without improving outcomes.
- Reform interconnection. FERC’s Order No. 2023 moves toward a “first-ready, first-served” approach of studying proposed power generating facilities in clusters, rather than individually, with the goal of streamlining the interconnection process—full implementation is the immediate priority.9 Interconnection must also be better aligned with transmission planning, with cost-allocation rules that fairly share grid upgrade costs. Flexible interconnection and grid-enhancing technologies should be used to unlock existing capacity.
II. Supply, Demand & Markets
- Scale energy supply across technologies. Policy should enable supply expansion across technologies rather than privileging individual fuels. Policymakers should maintain a level playing field for renewables—including wind, solar, and storage—alongside transmission and interconnection reform. Congress and regulators should accelerate nuclear and geothermal development through regulatory clarity and targeted early deployment support. Natural gas should remain available to support reliability and flexibility as the generation mix evolves. Wholesale markets should determine which resources are built, provided reliability standards are met and system costs are minimized.
- Treat demand-side resources as core infrastructure. FERC and regional markets should ensure demand response, distributed energy resources, and virtual power plants can compete with generation. Utilities and regulators should prioritize peak demand reduction where it avoids costly infrastructure expansion. States should require large new loads, including data centers, to provide flexibility or bear incremental system costs unless broader benefits justify alternative arrangements.
- Align utility incentives with system performance. State regulators should modernize utility regulation to align incentives through performance-based ratemaking, multi-year rate plans, and outcome-based metrics that reward utilities for reducing congestion, improving reliability, and lowering total system costs—not simply minimizing near-term capital expenditures.
- Strengthen energy supply chain resilience. Congress and the executive branch should support domestic manufacturing of transformers, grid equipment, batteries, and critical minerals through targeted incentives and procurement. Partnerships with allies should diversify supply chains and reduce geopolitical risk.
III. Fuels, Security & Long-Term Transition
- Strengthen oil and fuel market resilience. The federal government should support stable domestic oil and gas production and resilient fuel markets. Strong production should be paired with stronger standards to reduce methane leakage—a significant emissions source and economic waste. The Strategic Petroleum Reserve should remain an emergency buffer, with stronger coordination with allies during supply disruptions. Policies restricting exports of oil or liquified natural gas should be avoided. Constraints on domestic shipping and fuel distribution should be reviewed where they raise costs or limit flexibility.
- Invest in long-term transition technologies. Federal policy should focus on early-stage deployment challenges where private capital is unlikely to bear risk alone, using demonstration funding, loan authorities, and targeted procurement. Carbon capture is especially relevant for large continuous loads like data centers. Support should be time-limited, cost-disciplined, and designed to reach commercial scale.
Relevant Legislation and Rulemaking
Leadership Now supports energy policy that improves scalability, reliability, affordability, and environmental impact.
FERC Order No. 1920 (Transmission Planning)
Requires long-term regional transmission planning and broader evaluation of system benefits. A necessary step toward aligning transmission with future demand growth. Timely execution on cost allocation and interregional coordination will determine whether the reform materially reduces constraints.
FERC Order No. 2023 (Interconnection Reform)
Establishes a cluster-based “first-ready, first-served” interconnection framework with stricter readiness requirements and clearer timelines. Full implementation is a priority; further progress requires aligning interconnection with transmission planning.
The ADVANCE Act (Nuclear)
Sen. Shelley Capito (R-WV)
Modernizes licensing for advanced nuclear technologies. Essential to enabling nuclear to scale, with continued attention needed on cost discipline and realistic commercialization pathways.
Recent Executive Actions on Oil and Gas Production
Support near-term supply resilience and global market stability. Long-term competitiveness will depend on parallel progress in grid infrastructure, system flexibility, and demand integration.
The SPEED Act (Permitting Reform)
Rep. Bruce Westerman (R-AR)
Establishes firm timelines for federal environmental reviews and reduces permitting delays. Effectiveness will depend on improved interagency coordination, limits on litigation-driven delay, and consistent application across technologies.
The REWIRE Act (Grid Enhancement Technologies)
Sens. David McCormick (R-PA) and Peter Welch (D-VT)
Accelerates deployment of grid-enhancing technologies and reconductoring to increase transmission capacity on existing lines—a cost-effective way to expand grid capacity quickly.
The Energy Bills Relief Act (EBRA)
Reps. Wesley Bell (D-MO) and John Mannion (D-NY)
Seeks to lower energy costs through clean energy deployment, transmission expansion, and consumer-focused policies. Would benefit from greater attention to supply diversity, the role of oil and natural gas, and integration of demand-side resources.
Electricity Market Reform and Large Load Integration
Rapid growth in large electricity users is reshaping regional power markets, reflected in rising capacity prices in regions like PJM. Ongoing debates at FERC, RTOs, and state regulators focus on interconnection, cost allocation, and the treatment of large loads. We endorse efforts to align cost causation and maintain investment signals without shifting costs disproportionately to existing customers.
Endnotes
- 1.International Energy Agency. (2025). Energy and AI: Energy demand from AI. https://www.iea.org/reports/energy-and-ai/energy-demand-from-ai; U.S. Department of Energy/Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory. (2024). Report on U.S. Data Center Energy Use; Fortune. (2026, April 20). Data centers drove half of U.S. electricity demand growth last year. https://fortune.com/2026/04/20/us-data-center-electricity-demand-public-opinion/ ↩
- 2.U.S. Energy Information Administration. (2026, March). Short-Term Energy Outlook. https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/ ↩
- 3.Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. (2022). FERC Proposes Interconnection Reforms to Address Queue Backlogs; Solar and Storage Industries Institute. (2025, October 27). Making Sense of Interconnection Queue Trends. https://www.ssii.org/making-sense-of-interconnection-queue-trends/ ↩
- 4.S&P Global Market Intelligence. (2025, October 16). Grid congestion remains key issue as data center load growth stresses system. https://www.spglobal.com/market-intelligence/en/news-insights/research/2025/10/grid-congestion-remains-key-issue-as-data-center-load-growth-stresses-system ↩
- 5.Resources for the Future. (2025, October 5). Delays to Wind and Solar Energy Projects: Permitting and Litigation Are Not the Only Obstacles. https://www.resources.org/archives/delays-to-wind-and-solar-energy-projects-permitting-and-litigation-are-not-the-only-obstacles/ ↩
- 6.U.S. Department of Energy, cited in Burns & McDonnell. (2025). Watts Up With the Grid: Enhancing Resilience Under Extreme Weather Conditions. https://info.burnsmcd.com/benchmark/article/watts-up-with-the-grid-enhancing-resilience-under-extreme-weather-conditions ↩
- 7.U.S. Energy Information Administration. (2025). The United States exported 30% of the energy it produced in 2024. https://www.eia.gov/todayinenergy/detail.php?id=65924 ↩
- 8.International Energy Agency. (2025). World Energy Investment 2025 – China; Ember. (2025, September). China Energy Transition Review 2025. https://ember-energy.org/latest-insights/china-energy-transition-review-2025/ ↩
- 9.Federal Energy Regulatory Commission. (2023). Improvements to Generator Interconnection Procedures and Agreements, Order No. 2023; Solar and Storage Industries Institute. (2025). Making Sense of Interconnection Queue Trends. https://www.ssii.org/making-sense-of-interconnection-queue-trends/ ↩